MAYBE CAN JUSTIFY FAVOURITE’S TAG

Maybe Can Justify Favourite’s Tag
Maybe Can Justify Favourite’s Tag
By Ian Ogg

Maybe

  • Winners have been priced between 5-4 and 20-1 with four returned at single figure SPs.
  • Three favourites have been successful with a further two placed.
  • Six winners were making their seasonal reappearance; three of the four exceptions won their prep race.
  • Winners had had between two and eight career starts.
  • Two of the winners were unbeaten; of the remainder, five had been beaten no more than twice.
  • Three winners (all in the last five years) had previously won a Group One.
  • Eight winners had won at least a Group Three, the two exceptions hadn’t previously run in a Group race.
  • Eight winners had won their preceding start, the two exceptions finished second and third.
  • Three winners had already won over a mile.
  • Summary

    Group One form has made something of a comeback in recent years with three of the last five winners already successful in the top tier but one statistic that has remained a constant is a good run last time out.

    Special Duty had valid excuses for her defeat at Maisons-Laffitte (ground) while Russian Rhythm didn’t appear to run up to her best in the Cheveley Park when second to Airwave but all of the other winners in the past decade had been successful last time out and raced as a juvenile.

    Those in the top half of the market have dominated the race with five winners returned between 10-1 and 16-1 in addition to the winning favourites and surprises have been relatively few.

    Group One winners have a good recent record and four fillies line-up with top tier successes to their name but Maybe has the best credentials of the quartet and is taken to prevail.

    View the original article over at Sporting Life

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