SEQUENCE LOOKS THE MAIN BET
Sequence Looks The Main Bet
Sequence Looks The Main Bet
By The Insider
|2pts’e.w. Main Sequence at 10/1 in the Investec Derby (General).||Improver and has little to find on form.|
Camelot tops the six-day acceptors for the Investec Derby – and is now as short as 4/7 to add the Epsom Classic to his victory in the QIPCO 2000 Guineas.
He may well win and fulfil his rich potential but that price has to be too short.
It’s easy to pick holes in the form of his Racing Post Trophy and Newmarket victories and, while he promises to be a different proposition over middle-distances, that is very much factored into his price.
Aidan O’Brien – despite throwing more darts at the board than any other trainer in recent history – has still only won the race twice and it will be interesting to see the make-up of his final raiding party this time around.
Astrology (12/1) and Imperial Monarch (16/1) both impressed when winning trials at Chester and Sandown on desperate ground but will both turn-up alongside their stablemate?
They have questions to answer too on a much quicker surface at the weekend and need to make significant improvement.
Bonfire made plenty of each-way appeal after the Dante when Ladbrokes went 8/1 but he’s half that price in places now. There was plenty to like about his performance at York but there’s no cast-iron guarantee he’ll get a mile-and-a-half on pedigree and his temperament will be tested to the full on Saturday.
Thought Worthy is in good hands and was touched off by Imperial Monarch at Sandown before beating Noble Mission at Newmarket last time. He’s going to improve with experience and distance but I wasn’t convinced he handled the Dip particularly well at Headquarters so he has questions to answer over the track at Epsom.
That leaves us with two options. Mickdaam looks over-priced at 33/1 following a gutsy win in the Chester Vase but he’s had an interrupted preparation. Richard Fahey is hopeful he’s back on track and with Paul Hanagan in the saddle it’s not hard to see him being significantly shorter on the day.
However I can’t believe Main Sequence is still available at double-figure odds and he has to be the call.
What’s not to like? David Lanigan’s charge is unbeaten in four starts and is improving at a rate of knots. He was a well-backed winner of a decent handicap at the Craven Meeting on his reappearance before really impressing in the Lingfield Derby Trial.
On that occasion he showed a smart turn of foot to run out a ready winner from Shantaram, a highly-regarded stablemate of Thought Worthy, with the pair six lengths clear of Cavaleiro who reopposes here.
Main Sequence won’t have to improve much on that performance to hit the frame but is likely to and given there are no stamina, track or ground questions to answer, he can’t be a 10/1 chance on the day.
View the original article over at Sporting Life