KAILANI HAS CLASSIC CREDENTIALS

Kailani Has Classic Credentials
Kailani Has Classic Credentials
By Simon Holt

Kailani

BETTING BOX
FIXED ODDS
1pt win Kailani in 16.05 Epsom at 9/1 (general). Very impressive at Newmarket and the pick of these at the prices.

Aidan O’Brien is mega-handed for the Investec Oaks with six declared and one of those, Maybe, heads the market after finishing third in the 1,000 Guineas on her reappearance having been unbeaten as a two-year-old.

The form of the 1,000 Guineas has worked out very well, with the exception of the first two home. Winner Homecoming Queen was quite well beaten in the Irish version last weekend and Starscope, the runner-up, has been beaten since too.

Others have come out of the race and won. The Fugue, for example, was back in fourth and she won the Musidora Stakes well next time.

Maybe is by Galileo but she’s out of a fairly fast mare and, though there are some relations in her pedigree such as Dancing Rain, last year’s Oaks winner, I think there has to be a slight doubt that she will get the trip.

It’s a big step up in distance from a mile to a mile-and-a-half and I think she’s short enough in an Oaks that looks to have a look more depth to it than the Derby.

Another O’Brien runner, Kissed, is very interesting if she takes part. She needs a bit more juice in the ground but she’s closely related to Pour Moi and was very impressive at Navan last time. She could be anything.

Twirl was beaten by The Fugue at York, Betterbetterbetter was beaten in the Cheshire Oaks and Devotion looks a bit of a longshot as does Was so Maybe, is probably, the leading contender from Ballydoyle.

Of the others there are some serious fillies in this race.

The Fugue was hugely impressive at York’s Dante meeting beating O’Brien’s Twirl by four-and-a-half lengths with lots in hand. She’s stoutly bred on the dam’s side and must surely play a big part in this race, particularly if she improves again.

My only slight concern is that this is her third fairly quick run after the 1,000 Guineas and Musidora but she clearly has a lot of ability.

The same can be said about Vow, William Haggas’ daughter of Motivator out of a very successful broodmare called Frog who has also produced Harris Tweed and Beaten Up, there’s absolutely no question on grounds of stamina for her.

She won the Oaks Trial at Lingfield, beating Colima by three-and-a-quarter lengths. Colima was running on strongly at the finish and she could well improve but she’s obviously got a bit of ground to make up on Vow.

My only concern with Vow would be her evident inexperience so far. She hung badly right in the straight at Lingfield and it’s just a possibility that a race of this nature around this difficult course might come a little bit early in her career.

The one I think could be the hardest to beat of all is Godolphin’s filly KAILANI.

She is unbeaten in two starts and this daughter of Monsun is out of previous Oaks winner Kazzia who has produced good horses such as Eastern Anthem.

Kailani was a hugely impressive winner of the Pretty Polly Stakes at the Newmarket Guineas meeting beating Hazel Lavery, who is quite a decent filly, by seven lengths.

She’s absolutely bred to stay a mile-and-a-half and though the ground will be very different to her Newmarket experience her dam was effective on any ground and at odds of around 9-1 she represents good value.

With many good fillies in a race full of depth it’s difficult to choose between them but at the prices I’ll go for a Godolphin Classic win in the hands of Mikael Barzalona – not Frankie Dettori.

  • Preview posted at 1630 BST on 29/05/2012.

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