Favourite Place Bias

Favourite Place Bias

By The UK Horse Racing Tipster

From my own large database of race history it is clear that certain courses have a better favourite bias than others.

By that I mean that a favourite runner has a higher probability of placing (coming in the top N places whether 2 or 5at certain courses than others.

Why this is can be down to many reasons however it is useful to know if you are trying to build your own systems or use my own, especially when picking favourites to LAY or BACK when making place bets on the betting exchanges.

The page is now broken down into National Hunt racing and Flat racing as they each have their own statistics.

You should also check out the Win and Lay bias by course tables:

Favourite Win Bias By Course

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National Hunt Courses / Racing

Course Win % Country
Ballinrobe 73.71% IRE
Fairyhouse 71.01% IRE
Lingfield Park 70.05% UK
Navan 70% IRE
Leicester 69.62% UK
Cartmel 69.34% UK
Punchestown 69.03% IRE
Plumpton 68.85% UK
Newton Abbot 68.71% UK
Sedgefield 68.58% UK
Sligo 68.35% IRE
Gowran Park 68.35% IRE
Thurles 68.17% IRE
Killarney 68.07% IRE
Hexham 68.05% UK
Wincanton 68.02% UK
Bangor-On-Dee 67.89% UK
Kempton Park 67.67% UK
Towcester 67.58% UK
Taunton 67.49% UK
Market Rasen 67.46% UK
Leopardstown 66.93% IRE
Cork 66.67% IRE
Tramore 66.53% IRE
Folkestone 66.32% UK
Chepstow 66.12% UK
Fakenham 65.93% UK
Newcastle 65.92% UK
Ludlow 65.86% UK
Exeter 65.68% UK
Worcester 65.62% UK
Tipperary 65.41% IRE
Uttoxeter 65.28% UK
Perth 65.24% UK
Limerick 65.14% IRE
Hereford 64.87% UK
Newbury 64.64% UK
Southwell 64.57% UK
Ffos Las 64.56% UK
Naas 64.5% IRE
Stratford Upon Avon 64.17% UK
Huntingdon 64.06% UK
Doncaster 63.81% UK
Fontwell Park 63.77% UK
Kilbeggan 63.41% IRE
Roscommon 63.41% IRE
Wetherby 63.37% UK
Warwick 63.19% UK
Down Royal 62.91% IRE
Carlisle 62.2% UK
Bellewstown 61.84% IRE
Wexford 61.76% IRE
Clonmel 61.59% IRE
Musselburgh 61.57% UK
Downpatrick 61.48% IRE
Aintree 61.37% UK
Ascot 61.23% UK
Ayr 61.22% UK
Cheltenham 61.11% UK
Kelso 60.96% UK
Sandown Park 60.24% UK
Galway 58.42% IRE
Haydock Park 57.85% UK
Listowel 57.31% IRE
Catterick Bridge 56.49% UK
Wolverhampton 54.55% UK

Flat Courses / Racing

Course Win % Country
Punchestown 74.24% IRE
Sligo 72.46% IRE
Tramore 70.48% IRE
Bellewstown 70.41% IRE
Clonmel 69.86% IRE
Limerick 69.48% IRE
Navan 68.98% IRE
Southwell 68.97% UK
Laytown 68.97% IRE
Roscommon 68.55% IRE
Wexford 68.31% IRE
Tipperary 68.28% IRE
Leicester 67.92% UK
Lingfield Park 67.8% UK
Naas 67.48% IRE
Wolverhampton 67.15% UK
Carlisle 67.14% UK
Warwick 66.95% UK
Leopardstown 66.8% IRE
Ballinrobe 66.67% IRE
Downpatrick 66.67% IRE
Folkestone 66.45% UK
Windsor 66.16% UK
Killarney 66.1% IRE
Ripon 65.99% UK
Kempton Park 65.41% UK
Dundalk 65.32% IRE
Cork 65.3% IRE
Haydock Park 65.29% UK
Beverley 65.24% UK
Thirsk 64.91% UK
Catterick Bridge 64.86% UK
Sandown Park 63.87% UK
Kilbeggan 63.64% IRE
Hamilton Park 63.53% UK
Ffos Las 63.52% UK
Down Royal 63.5% IRE
Newmarket 63.45% UK
Bath 63.31% UK
Salisbury 63.17% UK
Listowel 62.94% IRE
Chester 62.91% UK
Fairyhouse 62.91% IRE
Brighton 62.74% UK
Pontefract 62.55% UK
Nottingham 62.38% UK
Newcastle 62.34% UK
Redcar 62.27% UK
Galway 62.11% IRE
Doncaster 62.06% UK
Epsom Downs 61.76% UK
Musselburgh 61.52% UK
Curragh 61.51% IRE
Goodwood 61.4% UK
Chepstow 61.2% UK
Yarmouth 61.14% UK
Thurles 60.71% IRE
Ayr 60.42% UK
Newbury 60.18% UK
Gowran Park 59.61% IRE
York 57.55% UK
Ascot 56.36% UK
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